Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Two Anonymous reply to posts on this blog, about on the Surman, Zawiyah or Aziziyah fronts, is it a trap?Something to think about at least


Anonymous has left a new comment on your post "#Tripoli Video - families flee the capital to the ...": 
The rebels hope and plan to accomplish a great deal. But when one looks at actual cities and towns they've taken, outside of Misurata and the western mountains, they haven't taken any settlement of more than a few dozen people. I agree with this video that it could be over soon, but I don't think it will turn out the way she predicts. I suspect that Qaddafi sees an opportunity - his first, really - to trap rebel fighters this time. He'll let them get close to Surman, Zawiyah and Aziziyah. But unlike all past battles (most recently on the outskirts of Zlitan), this time he'll surround them and capture or kill them - not merely chase them away.  
Anonymous has left a new comment on your post "Maps Surman": 
If the rebels get surrounded and cut off from their supply lines to the south, on the Surman, Zawiyah or Aziziyah fronts, it could be all over for the rebels on the Nafusa front. In the past, the rebels have always had a safe spot to retreat to -- Ajdabiyah on the Brega front, Dafiniyah or Misurata on the west-of-Misurata front, and the mountains on the Nafusa front. But now the rebels have advanced very far north of their base toward Surman, Zawiyah and Aziziyah. I don't think this bodes well for the rebels. My hunch is that, within the next two weeks, Qaddafi's troops attack from all 4 sides. Some rebels will escape, some will be captured, and some will die. It will be the cause of some serious re-thinking by many rebel fighters, and even more so by their Western supporters.