Rasmussen swing state poll: Obama 50% Romney 47%.http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_swing_state_tracking_poll …
Daily Swing State Tracking Poll
Swing State Tracking: Obama 50%, Romney 47%
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Wednesday, October 17, 2012
The full Swing State tracking update offers Rasmussen Reader subscribers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. If you do not already have a Rasmussen Reader account,subscribe now.
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In the 11 swing states, the president earns 50% of the vote to Mitt Romney’s 47%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate in the race, and another one percent (1%) undecided.
Obama is the only one of the candidates who has reached the 50% mark in the combined swing states. His support ranged from 50% to 51% for the first five days of this month, but those numbers faded and Romney bounced ahead following the president’s sub par performance in the first debate. Now that bounce is over. Because this survey is conducted on a rolling seven-day basis, nearly all of the responses in the latest survey come before the second presidential debate last night.
In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin.
Nationally, Romney leads by one point in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
(Swing State Job Approval Data Below Table)
Release Date
|
Obama
|
Romney
|
NET
|
50
|
47
|
Obama +3
| |
49
|
47
|
Obama +2
| |
48
|
48
|
Even
| |
47
|
49
|
Romney +2
| |
48
|
49
|
Romney +1
| |
48
|
49
|
Romney +1
| |
48
|
49
|
Romney +1
| |
47
|
49
|
Romney +2
| |
47
|
49
|
Romney +2
| |
49
|
47
|
Obama +2
| |
49
|
47
|
Obama +2
| |
49
|
46
|
Obama +3
| |
50
|
45
|
Obama +5
| |
51
|
45
|
Obama +6
| |
50
|
45
|
Obama +5
| |
50
|
45
|
Obama +5
| |
51
|
45
|
Obama +6
| |
48
|
44
|
Obama +4
| |
47
|
45
|
Obama +2
| |
46
|
46
|
Even
| |
46
|
46
|
Even
| |
46
|
45
|
Obama +1
| |
47
|
44
|
Obama +3
| |
46
|
44
|
Obama +2
| |
46
|
45
|
Obama +1
| |
46
|
45
|
Obama +1
| |
46
|
45
|
Obama +1
| |
47
|
46
|
Obama +1
| |
46
|
47
|
Romney +1
| |
46
|
47
|
Romney +1
| |
45
|
47
|
Romney +2
| |
45
|
47
|
Romney +2
| |
46
|
46
|
Even
| |
46
|
46
|
Even
| |
47
|
45
|
Obama +2
| |
46
|
45
|
Obama +1
| |
47
|
45
|
Obama +2
| |
46
|
45
|
Obama +1
| |
46
|
45
|
Obama +1
| |
45
|
46
|
Romney +1
| |
45
|
46
|
Romney +1
| |
43
|
47
|
Romney +4
| |
44
|
47
|
Romney +3
| |
44
|
46
|
Romney +2
| |
44
|
46
|
Romney +2
| |
44
|
46
|
Romney +2
| |
45
|
45
|
Even
| |
45
|
45
|
Even
| |
46
|
43
|
Obama +3
| |
47
|
44
|
Obama +3
| |
47
|
44
|
Obama +3
| |
48
|
44
|
Obama +4
| |
46
|
45
|
Obama +1
|
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The president’s Job Approval in the swing states is currently at 51%. Forty-eight percent (48%) disapprove. These figures include 29% who Strongly Approve and 41% who Strongly Disapprove.
These results are derived from tracking poll data collected for the seven days ending October 16, 2012. The sample includes approximately 1,300 Likely Voters, and the margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Rasmussen Reports issues our daily Swing State Tracking Poll to supplement, not replace, individual state polling. In Colorado, New Hampshire and Ohio, Obama leads by a point. He leads by two inIowa and Wisconsin, five in Pennsylvania and seven in Michigan. Romney leads by two in Virginia and four in Florida. He’s ahead by three in Missouri and North Carolina. The candidates are tied inNevada. See the latest Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.
Rasmussen Reports will release new data out of Nevada at noon Eastern today.
