Daily Swing State Tracking Poll - Swing State Tracking: Romney49%, Obama 47% Rasmussen Reports™ http://shar.es/5y5gr#Boom
11:15 AM - 9 Oct 12 · Details
Daily Swing State Tracking Poll
Swing State Tracking: Romney 49%, Obama 47%
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Tuesday, October 09, 2012
The full Swing State tracking update offers Rasmussen Reader subscribers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. If you do not already have a Rasmussen Reader account,subscribe now.
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In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 49% support to Obama’s 47%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.
This is the first time Romney has led the daily Swing State Survey since September 19. Until today, the president had led for 17 of the previous 19 days, and the candidates had been tied twice. This survey is based on findings from the previous seven days, with most of the responses now coming since Romney’s debate win last Wednesday night.
Forty-six percent (46%) of these Swing State voters are now “certain” they will vote for Romney and will not change their minds. Forty percent (40%) are certain they will vote for the president.
In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin.
Nationally, the candidates are tied in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
(Swing State Job Approval Data Below Table)
Release Date
|
Obama
|
Romney
|
NET
|
47
|
49
|
Romney +2
| |
49
|
47
|
Obama +2
| |
49
|
47
|
Obama +2
| |
49
|
46
|
Obama +3
| |
50
|
45
|
Obama +5
| |
51
|
45
|
Obama +6
| |
50
|
45
|
Obama +5
| |
50
|
45
|
Obama +5
| |
51
|
45
|
Obama +6
| |
48
|
44
|
Obama +4
| |
47
|
45
|
Obama +2
| |
46
|
46
|
Even
| |
46
|
46
|
Even
| |
46
|
45
|
Obama +1
| |
47
|
44
|
Obama +3
| |
46
|
44
|
Obama +2
| |
46
|
45
|
Obama +1
| |
46
|
45
|
Obama +1
| |
46
|
45
|
Obama +1
| |
47
|
46
|
Obama +1
| |
46
|
47
|
Romney +1
| |
46
|
47
|
Romney +1
| |
45
|
47
|
Romney +2
| |
45
|
47
|
Romney +2
| |
46
|
46
|
Even
| |
46
|
46
|
Even
| |
47
|
45
|
Obama +2
| |
46
|
45
|
Obama +1
| |
47
|
45
|
Obama +2
| |
46
|
45
|
Obama +1
| |
46
|
45
|
Obama +1
| |
45
|
46
|
Romney +1
| |
45
|
46
|
Romney +1
| |
43
|
47
|
Romney +4
| |
44
|
47
|
Romney +3
| |
44
|
46
|
Romney +2
| |
44
|
46
|
Romney +2
| |
44
|
46
|
Romney +2
| |
45
|
45
|
Even
| |
45
|
45
|
Even
| |
46
|
43
|
Obama +3
| |
47
|
44
|
Obama +3
| |
47
|
44
|
Obama +3
| |
48
|
44
|
Obama +4
| |
46
|
45
|
Obama +1
|
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The president’s Job Approval in the swing states is currently at 48%. Fifty-two percent (52%) disapprove. These figures include 28% who Strongly Approve and 45% who Strongly Disapprove.
These results are derived from tracking poll data collected for the seven days ending October 8, 2012. The sample includes approximately 1,300 Likely Voters, and the margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Rasmussen Reports issues our daily Swing State Tracking Poll to supplement, not replace, individual state polling. In Colorado and Ohio, Obama leads by a point. In Iowa and Nevada, the president is up two. He now leads by three in Wisconsin and has jumped to double-digit leads in Michigan andPennsylvania. Romney leads by one in Virginia and two in Florida. He’s ahead by three in Missouri,North Carolina and New Hampshire. See the latest Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.
Rasmussen Reports will release new numbers from Nevada at noon Eastern today.
