Latest IBD/TIPP poll: Obama 47.9% | Romney 42.2% Obama now up 6%, as post-debate momentum builds in latest IBD/TIPP http://owl.li/eE3n4
IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election
Daily Tracking Poll
Daily Tracking Poll
Day 13: Oct. 21, 2012
Obama: +5.7Obama 47.9% | Romney 42.2%
- Obama has opened up a 6-point lead over Romney in our latest poll, his largest lead yet.
- Some 8.1% of those polled said they were “not sure” whom they would vote for, also the largest percentage yet.
- Obama’s lead seemed to build after the second debate, which many mainstream media pundits believe Obama won.
- Self-described “moderates” now prefer Obama over Romney by 22 points, the second largest margin since we began polling.
- Obama holds a hefty 35-point lead among urban dwellers, and a comfortable 5-point lead in the suburbs.
Obama
|
Romney
|
Not Sure
| |
| OVERALL |
47.9%
|
42.2%
|
8.1%
|
| REGION | |||
| Northeast |
50%
|
36%
|
11%
|
| Midwest |
49%
|
43%
|
7%
|
| South |
45%
|
46%
|
7%
|
| West |
49%
|
40%
|
9%
|
| AGE | |||
| 18-44 |
52%
|
35%
|
11%
|
| 45-64 |
46%
|
46%
|
7%
|
| 65+ |
44%
|
49%
|
5%
|
| GENDER | |||
| Male |
46%
|
45%
|
8%
|
| Female |
50%
|
40%
|
8%
|
| RACE | |||
| White |
39%
|
51%
|
8%
|
| Black/Hispanic |
83%
|
8%
|
8%
|
| HOUSEHOLD INCOME | |||
| Under 30K |
57%
|
29%
|
13%
|
| 30K-50K |
47%
|
43%
|
9%
|
| 50-75K |
48%
|
43%
|
8%
|
| 75K+ |
44%
|
51%
|
5%
|
| PARTY | |||
| Democrats |
87%
|
7%
|
5%
|
| Republicans |
9%
|
85%
|
4%
|
| Ind./Other |
38%
|
44%
|
16%
|
| INVESTOR CLASS | |||
| Yes |
45%
|
49%
|
5%
|
| No |
53%
|
33%
|
13%
|
| AREA TYPE | |||
| Urban |
63%
|
28%
|
8%
|
| Suburban |
48%
|
43%
|
8%
|
| Rural |
34%
|
54%
|
9%
|
| WHITE | |||
| White men |
37%
|
53%
|
9%
|
| White women |
41%
|
49%
|
7%
|
| BLACK/HISPANIC | |||
| Black* |
93%
|
2%
|
6%
|
| Hispanic* |
62%
|
24%
|
14%
|
| WOMEN | |||
| Single women |
60%
|
26%
|
12%
|
| Married women |
43%
|
50%
|
5%
|
| EDUCATION | |||
| High School |
47%
|
40%
|
13%
|
| Some College |
47%
|
44%
|
6%
|
| College Degree+ |
49%
|
42%
|
7%
|
| IDEOLOGY | |||
| Conservative |
22%
|
69%
|
7%
|
| Moderate |
55%
|
33%
|
10%
|
| Liberal |
85%
|
7%
|
6%
|
| HOUSEHOLD DESCRIPTION | |||
| Upper/Upper Middle |
47%
|
45%
|
6%
|
| Middle |
44%
|
47%
|
6%
|
| Working |
54%
|
31%
|
13%
|
| Lower* |
57%
|
29%
|
15%
|
| RELIGION | |||
| Protestant |
35%
|
57%
|
6%
|
| Catholic |
43%
|
46%
|
9%
|
| Other Christian |
51%
|
40%
|
8%
|
| Jewish* |
81%
|
19%
|
0%
|
| Other* |
41%
|
49%
|
4%
|
| None |
66%
|
22%
|
10%
|
| UNION HOUSEHOLD | |||
| Yes |
61%
|
27%
|
10%
|
| No |
45%
|
45%
|
8%
|
| 2008 VOTE | |||
| Obama |
84%
|
8%
|
8%
|
| McCain |
6%
|
89%
|
3%
|
Polling period: 10/15 - 10/20
Margin of Error: +/- 3.5%
Sample Size: 913 likely voters (identified from 1044 registered voters with party affiliation of 37% Dem, 30% GOP, 32% Ind.)
Methodology: Traditional telephone methodology using Random Digit Dial (RDD) landline and cell phone samples
Margin of Error: +/- 3.5%
Sample Size: 913 likely voters (identified from 1044 registered voters with party affiliation of 37% Dem, 30% GOP, 32% Ind.)
Methodology: Traditional telephone methodology using Random Digit Dial (RDD) landline and cell phone samples
Read More At IBD: http://news.investors.com/special-report/508415-ibdtipp-poll.aspx#ixzz29xP9gUWS
