On average Obama +2
Real Clear Politics Avg: Obama 48.4% Romney 46.7%
Obama - Colorado +0.5 Florida +0.0 Virginia +0.4 Ohio +3.0
Romney - NCarolina +0.8
Romney - NCarolina +0.8
Polltracker Avg: Real
Obama 48.6% Romney 46.3%
Obama - Colorado +0.1 Florida +0.6 Virginia +2.4 Ohio +4.5
Romney - NCarolina +0.3
Romney - NCarolina +0.3
Final numbers start coming in tomorrow, rest by Wednesday,
much more of a move than I expected. I think that the Democratic Oversamples
are getting smaller at same time, which would account for a couple points. Most
polls were oversampling Dem+8, guessing
that has dropped to Dem oversample of +3-4 now which would be more approariate.
Gallup going to be worst skewed , but
even they are getting closer, OBAMA Gallup+3 Cnn+3 Nbc+3 Reuters+2 UPI+2
Abc+2 ROMNEY Rasmussen+2 NatJournal+1
